Harrison Jr. has the entire tool belt to pull contraptions from to make corners' lives a living hell on the football field. He has superb route nuance and sneaky afterburners (legit 4.4 speed). If a corner plays off him, he can quickly drop it into fourth and beat them deep or run away from them on a drag route. His route tree isn't missing any branches. Harrison Jr. has plenty of field stretching reps where he exhibits strong ball tracking. He made a few basket catches at Ohio State that'll leave your jaw on the floor. He has the skill set to be an elite WR in the NFL for a long time. He can threaten a defense at every level. Harrison can get open off the line with any combination of speed, physicality, or footwork. Harrison Jr. is strong at the catch point with high point skills to be a yearly 8-10 touchdown guy. The only small knock on Harrison's game is that he isn't a huge YAC threat. He amassed only 14 missed tackles at Ohio State and 5.1 yards after the catch per reception. This depressing number can partially be attributed to quarterback play in 2023, which, funny enough, is the best season he had in YAC per reception (6.4). He has the size and speed to produce some YAC, but it likely will never be the biggest selling point of his skillset. Dynasty Outlook: Harrison lands exactly where plenty of people projected he'd go during the entire draft cycle. He's now the immediate WR1 on the team and will compete with Trey McBride for the team lead in targets. Harrison is an automatic WR1 in Dynasty and 2024 redraft ranks. Just looking at his outlook for this season, he could easily finish top 12 among wide receivers in targets. Last year, Arizona threw the ball 555 times while also ranking only 25th in neutral script passing rate, so ballparking them for 550 passing attempts isn't insanity (it's likely lowballing them). If Harrison can draw a 23% target share (which is a light projection), he would finish with 126 targets, but if he can push for a 25% target share, then we could project him for 137 targets (would have ranked 13th in targets among wide receivers last year). With minimal target competition in Arizona outside of Trey McBride, Harrison should eat in year one as a plug-and-play WR1 in fantasy.
by in FantasyMay 2, 2024